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Who Wins the Coastal Division?

With tonight's Virginia Tech win over Maryland, it's official - five of the six Coastal Division teams are (for all intents and purposes) tied for division lead with two losses apiece. Only a couple of scheduling vagaries put Georgia Tech a half game ahead and UNC a half game behind the pack. Even the sixth team, Duke is still capable of winning the division - it's anybody's ball game. So here's a route to Tampa for each of the six teams:

Georgia Tech: The Yellow Jackets win out, beating North Carolina and Miami. In addition, both Virginia and Virginia Tech have to lose at least one of their remaining conference games. (Both schools beat Georgia Tech, so the team loses out in either a three or two team tie.)

Virginia Tech: The Hokies are in the driver's seat, for if they win out, beating Miami, Duke, and Virginia, they'll win a tiebreaker with either of the other two teams that could go 6-2 - North Carolina or Georgia Tech.

Miami: The Hurricanes win out, beating Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, and N.C. State. If UNC also wins out, there's trouble; in a two-way tie between the Heels and Hurricanes, Carolina goes to Tampa. If it's a three-way tie, however, because Virginia also goes undefeated, then Miami, by virtue of going 4-1 in the division as opposed to 3-2, goes to Tampa.

Virginia: The Cavaliers win out, beating Wake Forest, Clemson, and Virginia Tech. They also need Miami to lose, because in a two-way tie with the Hurricanes (or a three-way with the U and UNC), Miami goes to Tampa instead.

North Carolina: The Heels win out, beating Georgia Tech, Maryland, N.C. State and Duke. They also need Virginia and Virginia Tech to lose; one of them must of course, as the Hokies and Hoos end the season playing each other. If the other also drops a game, UNC can pack their bags for Florida.

Duke: The Blue Devils win out, beating N.C. State, Clemson, Virginia Tech, and UNC. No other team can win all their remaining games, naturally. Duke would win two-way ties with Carolina, Virginia Tech, and Virginia, as well as a three or four-way tie with any of those teams. They'd lose ties to Georgia Tech and Miami, and I won't even get into the second and third order permutations of these sorts of things just yet.

Nobody wins out: The conference just packs it in. Seriously, we don't have time for this much parity.

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